Stochastic Weather Scenarios of Future Climatic Changes in the Saskatchewan River Basin

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Overview Research Site Status and Provenance Access and Downloads

Section 1: Overview

Name of Research Project

Related Project	Part
GWF-IMPC: Integrated Modelling Program for Canada	C1

Program Affiliations

No entries

Related Research Project(s)

Related Project	Part
GWF-IMPC: Integrated Modelling Program for Canada

Dataset Title

Stochastic Weather Scenarios of Future Climatic Changes in the Saskatchewan River Basin

Additional Information

GeoNetwork record: www.gwfnet.net/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/3d9508bf-7ee4-408a-a057-40d823674535

Creators and Contributors

Name	Role	Email	Institution
Kasra Keshavarz	Point of Contact; Originator	kasra.keshavarz@usask.ca	University of Saskatchewan
Jeff Wong	Collaborator		University of Saskatchewan
Mohamed Elshamy	Collaborator		University of Saskatchewan

Abstract

Climate change risk assessment of water resources systems under deeply uncertain futures demands a comprehensive set of future scenarios to test the current and proposed management/policy schemes in the basin. This dataset provides a set of future climate scenarios over the Canadian Rocky Mountains where 80% of water in the Saskatchewan River Basin initiates. The dataset uses a multi-site stochastic weather generator to produce scenarios demonstrating plausible climatic changes over the 2080-2100 period. The final format of the dataset will be comma separated value (.csv) files.

The following lists some of the datasets used in producing weather scenarios:
• The weather generator model is set up based on the daily observed data of the Canadian ANSUPLIN dataset (obtained by Jefferson Wong) from the beginning of 1980 to the end of 2013.
• The CORDEX-NA project datasets - which are Regional Climate Models (RCMs) projections over North America - are used to understand the changes in the future climate (using 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 RCPs - accessed online): https://www.earthsystemgrid.org/search/cordexsearch.html?variables=prec&variables=tmax&variables=tmin&_variables=on&_variables=on&_variables=on&_variables=on&_variables=on&experiments=rcp45&experiments=rcp85&_experiments=on&drivers=CNRM-CM5&drivers=CanESM2&_drivers=on&models=CanRCM4&models=CRCM5-UQAM&_models=on&freqs=day&_freqs=on&grids=NAM-44i&_grids=on&bcs=raw&_bcs=on

Purpose

Data was produced for theme C1: Future scenario generation for river-basin scale changes in climate, land surface, and water resources.

Plain Language Summary

Climate change is suggested to affect the temporal and spatial availability of fresh water resources around the world, and not surprisingly, within Canada. Current water infrastructures, such as dams, weirs, channels, etc. are mostly built without considering future expected changes in water availability. Preparing and adapting current infrastructures demand a broad understanding of how the future will unfold given the current rate of global warming. In doing so, this research provides thousands of climate scenarios helping stakeholders understand what to expect in future, and aid in subsequent planning.

Keywords

Keyword
weather generation
deep uncertainty
Master Agreement on Apportionment
synthetic scenarios
MulGETS
Saskatchewan River Basin

Citations

Section 3: Status and Provenance

Dataset Version

Dataset Creation Date

Status of data collection/production

○ Planned

◉ In Progress

○ Abandoned

○ Complete

Dataset Completion or Abandonment Date

Data Update Frequency

○ Continually

○ Daily

○ Weekly

○ Biweekly

○ Monthly

○ Anually

○ As needed

○ Irregular

◉ None planned

○ Unknown

Creation Software

Software	Version	File Formats
MulGETS	1.2.0.0
HBV-SASK	1.0
IWMSask – IMPC MODSIM Model	2.1

Primary Source of Data

◻ Unknown/Unspecified

◻ Census

◻ Field collected samples

◻ Field experiment

◻ Field observation

◻ Field survey

◻ Human biological samples

◻ Lab experiment

▣ Model simulation

◻ Previously collected

◻ Qualitative (from observations or interviews)

◻ Social survey

◻ Traditional knowledge

◻ Other Source of Data (Please specify in field below)

Other Source of Data (if applicable)

Data Lineage (if applicable). Please include versions (e.g., input and forcing data, models, and coupling modules; instrument measurements; surveys; sample collections; etc.)

Model name: MulGETS; HBV-SASK; IWMSask – IMPC MODSIM Model
Model version number: 1.2.0.0; 1.0; 2.1
Model source/webpage: https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/fileexchange/47537-multi-site-stochstic-weather-generator-mulgets; Included in the VARS-TOOL Software: https://vars-tool.com/vars-tool-program/; https://github.com/kasra-keshavarz/IWMSASK (currently under embargo)
Model output pre-processing script: Not applicable; Not applicable; Included in the source link
Model output post-processing script: Not applicable; Not applicable; Included in the source link
Model setup: Not applicable; Not applicable; Included in the source link
Time step: Daily; Daily; Weekly
Initial condition: Not applicable; Model’s default; Included in the source link
Boundary condition: Not applicable; Model’s default; Included in the source link

Section 4: Access and Downloads

Access to the Dataset

Does the data have access restrictions?

◻ No restriction (data is currently open to public)

▣ Limited (data is currently under embargo until publication)

◻ Limited (data involves intellectual property issues related to local or traditional knowledge)

◻ Limited (release of data may cause harm to the environment or to the public)

◻ Limited (pre-existing data has been used and is subject to access restrictions)

◻ Limited (data involves human subjects)

◻ Limited (data is supported by industry partnerships)

◻ Limited (data is supported by government partnerships)

Downloading and Characteristics of the Dataset

Download Links and Instructions

Total Size of all Dataset Files (GB)

File formats and online databases

◻ Link to online database or web services (e.g., WISKI, ECCC)

◻ Archive files (.zip, .rar, .7z, .tar, .tgz, .tar.gz, etc.)

▣ CSV files (.csv - comma or tab separated value files)

◻ Excel document files (.xlsx, .xls)

◻ Image files (e.g., .tiff, .jpeg, .png, .gif, etc.)

◻ NetCDF files (.netcdf, .nc)

◻ Text files (.txt)

◻ Word document files (.docx, .doc)

◻ Other (Please specify in field below)

Other Data Formats (if applicable)

List of Parameters and Variables

Parameter/Variable	Unit	Frequency	Source
precipitation	mm	daily	ANUSPLIN dataset (1980 – 2013); CanRCM4 dataset (1980 – 2013 and 2080 – 2099); MulGETS weather generator (future scenarios)
maximum/minimum temperature	°C	daily	ANUSPLIN dataset (1980 – 2013); CanRCM4 dataset (1980 – 2013 and 2080 – 2099); MulGETS weather generator (future scenarios)
streamflow	m3/s	daily	Water Survey of Canada (via HYDAT dataset); HBV-SASK model (future scenarios)
streamflow	m3/s	weekly	IWMSASK (IMPC MODSIM Water management model)

T-2021-02-23-t1iEUXI9fB0KE5RnllqwHXg Dataset 1.2

Begin Date	End Date
2080-01-01	2100-12-31

West Boundary Longitude	-117.5
East Boundary Longitude	-110
North Boundary Latitude	54.5
South Boundary Latitude	48.5